The popularity of Democrat President Joe Biden is steadily declining in the polls leading up to the 2024 election, primarily due to concerns about his mental decline becoming increasingly evident. On the other hand, Michelle Obama is gaining significant traction among Democrats as a potential nominee for the 2024 election, even though she has not officially announced her candidacy.

According to the RealClearPolitics average, which takes into account data from multiple betting websites, President Donald Trump currently holds a substantial lead over all other contenders in the betting odds for the 2024 presidential election. As of February 9, there is a strong likelihood of 43.2 percent that Trump will secure another term as president.

Trailing behind him is the current President Biden, who holds the second position with a comparatively lower probability of 29.3 percent.

Significantly, Michelle Obama has seen a notable surge in popularity, propelling her into third place with an 8.8 percent likelihood of winning the election.

This surge represents a significant increase in her chances over the past month and positions her ahead of other contenders like Nikki Haley, who has a 4.2 percent chance. California Governor Gavin Newsom closely follows in fourth place, boasting a 5.7 percent chance of securing the presidency. Vice President Kamala Harris trails behind with a 3.5 percent chance.

Meanwhile, figures such as Robbert F. Kennedy Jr, Virginia’s Glenn Youngkin, and West Virginia’s Joe Manchin each hold a 1 percent chance of victory. Haley’s decline in odds in January followed Trump’s victory in the New Hampshire primary election, reflecting the impact of political developments on the perception of candidates among bettors.