According to a recent poll conducted by the New York Times/Siena College, Former President Donald Trump has gained a significant five-point lead over President Joe Biden among registered voters. This margin of lead surpasses the margin of error, indicating a notable shift in public opinion.
“If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?” the poll asked.
Trump: 48 percent support
Biden: 43 percent support
Margin of error: 3.5 percent
Investigative Journalist Michael Tracey pointed out some of the biggest highlights:
Percentage of Black voters supporting the Democratic presidential nominee, by election year:
2008 — 95%
2012 — 93%
2016 — 88%
2020 — 87%
2024 — 66% (according to latest NYT/Siena poll)— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) March 2, 2024
NYT/Sienna poll says Trump is winning Latino voters outright over Biden, 46-40
Biden won Latino voters by 33 points in the 2020 election: 65-32
That's a 39 point swing to Trump between 2020 and 2024
Trump won just 28% of Latino voters in 2016. Today it's almost a majority
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) March 2, 2024
Trump continues to surge most of all with Black voters
NYT/Sienna poll in October 2020 had Trump at 50% among Whites and 4% among Blacks
NYT/Sienna poll today has Trump at 53% among Whites and 23% among Blacks
That's a nearly 500% increase in Trump's support from Black voters
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) March 2, 2024
32% of Democratic primary voters say they are angry or dissatisfied with Biden, while 18% of Republican primary voters say they are angry or dissatisfied with Trump, according to the latest NYT/Sienna poll. So that's another advantage to Trump
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) March 2, 2024
2020 election voters age 18-29 with a "favorable" view of Joe Biden: 63%
2024 election voters age 18-29 with a "favorable" view of Joe Biden: 31%
His favorability has been more than halved from cycle to cycle
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) March 2, 2024
