Recent polling data from historically reliable firms indicates that former President Donald Trump is on track to potentially achieve a “landslide” electoral victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in the upcoming election.
According to the latest findings from Trafalgar Group and Insider Advantage, Trump appears to be well-positioned for a significant win in the 2024 presidential race. The polling results reveal that he holds a substantial lead in several critical battleground states, indicating a strong likelihood of success in November. The revised electoral map forecasts Trump securing 296 electoral votes, in contrast to Harris’s 226. Importantly, Trump is gaining traction in swing states such as Pennsylvania (+2.2), Michigan (+2.2), and Wisconsin (+1.1), which played crucial roles in past elections. These states, which typically favor Democrats in tight races, seem to be leaning towards the former president.
In Arizona and North Carolina, Trump maintains a narrow lead of one point, while Nevada and Georgia remain fiercely competitive. Trafalgar’s data indicates a tie in Georgia, a state that has witnessed intense competition from both parties in recent elections. This trend is further supported by Senate projections, which suggest a 73% likelihood of Republicans reclaiming control of the upper chamber, a development that would significantly reshape the political dynamics in Washington.
#Updated Electoral Map Based on Trafalgar/Insider Advantage polling
Trump 296
Harris 226
——
Pennsylvania – Trump +2.2
Michigan – Trump +2.2
Wisconsin – Trump +1.1
Arizona – Trump +1
North Carolina – Trump +1
Nevada – Trump +1
Georgia – Tie
——… pic.twitter.com/7Kwhf9SlKC— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 2, 2024